Could a foggy August mean a snowy winter?


By EMILY KUBIS

Folklore tells us that a foggy August means a snowy winter, but what does Mother Nature have in store for Middle Tennessee this year?

Folklore tells us that a foggy August means a snowy winter, but what does Mother Nature have in store for Middle Tennessee this year?

August seems to be the winter weather signifier in many old wivese tales, with other folklore including; eIf the first week in August is unusually warm, the coming winter will be snowy and long, but if a cold August follows a hot July, it foretells a winter hard and dry.e

With Tuesdayes dense fog on everyonees mind, FHP took a look back at August weather data for the past few years to offer a prediction – albeit an amateur one – of whether weell need extra snow shovels this winter.

According to data from National Weather Service, there were 19 fogs in August in Nashville this year, which may seem high, but donet get your parkas and snowmobiles out yet.

In 2012, August produced 15 foggy mornings, but just 1.3 inches of freezing precipitation fell in Nashville between November 2012 and March 2013 – not a particularly snowy winter at all.

There were only seven August fogs in 2011 and less than a half inch of snow that winter, but the year before seems to be the best evidence yet – 2010 was both foggy and snowy.

There were 20 foggy mornings in August 2010, and that winter produced over 12 inches of snow – but does that mean the folklore is true?

Not exactly, said meteorologist Jason Wright with the National Weather Servicees Nashville location.

eTheyere probably thinking that extra moisture in the atmosphere in August could mean the moisture stays through the winter,e Wright said. eSometimes that can be the case.e

But this year, the National Weather Service is predicting winter temperatures slightly above normal, Wright said, with precipitation having an equal chance of coming in above or below average.

Above average temperatures donet exactly inspire visions of a white winter wonderland, but the Old Farmeres Almanac is singing a different tune this year.

Self-citing an 80 percent accuracy rate, this yeares Almanac predicts Old Man Winter coming in strong.

“A decline in solar activity combined with ocean-atmosphere patterns in the Pacific and Atlantic will result in below-normal temperatures and above-normal snowfall during most of the winter across much of the United States,” read The 2014 Old Farmeres Almanac.

So does summer fog equal winter snow? At FHP, weere deeming the evidence inconclusive. But what about you? Do you trust meteorologists, the Almanac, or none of the above? Any winter wivese tales passed down in your family? Leave us a comment and let us know.

About The Author

Kelly Gilfillan is the owner-publisher of Home Page Media Group which has been publishing hyperlocal news since 2009.

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